Democrats Take Lead in NBC Poll with Seniors in 2018 Congressional Race

A new NBC Wall Street Journal poll has Democrats taking the lead among seniors, by 46% – 42%, in preference for next year’s Congressional elections.  Republicans have usually led among seniors in polls.   Overall in the poll, Democrats are favored 50% – 39%.  Among young people, ages 18-35, Republicans are crushed 69%- -21%.  Democrats lead among women by 20% and even have a 2% lead among men.   They lead by 12% among independents.  Republicans are favored by white voters by 2% and by 12% among white voters without a college degree.

Donald Trump’s approval rate in this poll is 41%.    The poll was taken after the vote in the Alabama Senate race last week.   Also this poll happens before Republicans attempt to cut Medicare and perhaps Social Security after they complete tax reform. House Speaker Paul Ryan has long wanted to re-structure and cut entitlement programs though President Trump was not in favor of changes during the campaign.  Trump’s commitments are constantly changing and can’t be depended upon though.

Pushing legislation to cut Medicare and Social Security would be an unpopular move likely to end in failure like the effort to repeal the Affordable Care Act.  With only a one seat margin in the Senate now and with someone like Senator Susan Collins of Maine, Chair of the Aging Committee, perhaps in opposition, cutting Medicare and Social Security seems like political suicide .